empty
29.11.2022 02:15 PM
How much will interest rates be raised in December?

This image is no longer relevant

Concerns about mass protests in China are in the spotlight. According to the New York Times, "After a weekend of confrontations between officials and demonstrators, video from two sites in Shanghai and Beijing showed a heavy security presence."

Chinese citizens staged protests against the strict restrictions and lockdowns in China, which led to nationwide protests. Investors are worried that lockdowns and strict restrictions will dampen economic growth in China, the world's second-largest economy.

Various members of the Federal Reserve have been very vocal about the upcoming interest rate hikes. These events affect the sentiment of investors in precious metals.

One of the more hawkish members of the Federal Reserve is St. Louis Fed President James Bullard. Last week, he commented on the need to raise the Federal Reserve's base rate to 7% to cope with declining inflation. Speaking to MarketWatch editor Greg Robb this week, when asked how long the federal funds rate would need to stay in the 5% to 7% range, he said that "the Federal Reserve will likely need to keep its benchmark policy rate north of 5% for most of 2023 and into 2024 to succeed in taming inflation."

During his interview with MarketWatch, Bullard also added that "it seems markets are still underestimating the degree to which the Fed will need to keep policy tight in order to rein in inflation, explaining that there is still some expectation that inflation might subside on its own."

Investors are wondering whether Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will tone down the hawkish rhetoric when he speaks Wednesday at an event hosted by the Brookings Institution in Washington. It is now widely believed that the Federal Reserve will raise its base rate by 50 basis points in December.

However, the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate hike is decreasing. Currently, the CME's FedWatch tool estimates a 67.5% chance that the Fed will raise its benchmark rate by 50 basis points at the last FOMC meeting this year. Just a day ago, the CME FedWatch tool predicted a 75.8% chance, and a week ago it predicted an 80.6% chance.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

美元/日元:分析與預測

今天,隨著公布顯示二月全國消費者物價指數(CPI)放緩的數據,日本日圓繼續以負面基調交易,引發市場的不確定性。 數據顯示,二月份日本全國消費者物價指數同比上升3.7%,低於上月的4%。

Irina Yanina 11:07 2025-03-21 UTC+2

美國股市準備迎接零時刻

聯邦儲備系統已竭盡所能平息市場,但到了2025年,焦點已從央行轉移。 S&P 500 指數對強勁的房屋數據和失業救濟申請置若罔聞,轉而關注由唐納德·特朗普對法院裁決的抗拒以及他的新關稅威脅所引發的憲法危機。

Marek Petkovich 09:20 2025-03-21 UTC+2

3月21日需關注什麼?初學者的基本事件拆解

週五沒有預定的宏觀經濟事件。歐元和英鎊最終兌美元下跌。

Paolo Greco 06:06 2025-03-21 UTC+2

英鎊/美元配對概況-3月21日:英國央行對當前情勢毫無影響

英鎊/美元 (GBP/USD) 貨幣對在週四的波動非常平穩,就像週三晚上。如下圖所示,近期波動性已經降到明顯低的水平。

Paolo Greco 04:16 2025-03-21 UTC+2

歐元/美元對概述-3月21日:市場恐慌徒勞無功,無助於美元

歐元/美元貨幣對在週三和週四之間開始顯示出一定程度的下行修正。價格在四小時圖上的移動平均線下方盤整,但值得注意的是,這種盤整目前意義不大——上升趨勢依然強勁而穩定,而回調則相對較淺。

Paolo Greco 04:16 2025-03-21 UTC+2

日圓前景持續看漲

日本銀行(BoJ)在週三維持利率不變,市場反應平淡,因該結果早已在預期之內。BoJ 總裁植田和男表示,由於工資增長和食品價格持高,核心通脹上升的風險依然存在。

Kuvat Raharjo 23:46 2025-03-20 UTC+2

美元收復失地

市場總是先開槍後問問題。在聽到Jerome Powell保證聯邦儲備系統掌控一切且不會發生經濟衰退的消息後,美國股市指數上升。

Marek Petkovich 23:45 2025-03-20 UTC+2

XAU/USD 分析與預測

黃金在創下歷史新高後略有回落,保持著防禦立場。 目前,看漲的交易者顯得謹慎,這可從日線圖上超買狀況以及市場整體的正面情緒看出,這通常會減少對黃金這種避險資產的需求。

Irina Yanina 10:29 2025-03-20 UTC+2

美聯儲的訊息對股市多頭來說如樂音入耳

美聯儲並未向標普500投以救生索,但它真的需要救援嗎?救生索是留給溺水者的,而市場僅僅是因短暫的經濟衰退恐慌而受到驚嚇。在FOMC會議後的記者會上,鮑威爾的語氣不僅是安撫性的——更是令人平靜的。

Marek Petkovich 09:05 2025-03-20 UTC+2

市場陷入惡性循環,尚未見出路(比特幣和黃金價格可能下跌)

目前,由於籠罩市場的負面情緒如同一個難以抒解的重擔,市場正在經歷重大衝擊,尚未看到解決的跡象。在這種情況下,市場的未來動態仍然不確定,並引發一些重要的問題。

Pati Gani 08:23 2025-03-20 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.